20.03.2024

Oil Prices Dip as U.S. Crude Inventories Fall

Crude oil prices experienced a downturn today following the Energy Information Administration's report of a 2 million barrel decrease in U.S. crude oil inventories for the week ending March 15, coupled with a decline in gasoline stocks.

Compared to the previous week's draw of 1.5 million barrels, this latest inventory change reflects ongoing fluctuations in the oil market. Gasoline inventories notably fell by 3.3 million barrels during the same period, with daily production averaging 9.6 million barrels.

Despite a modest addition of 600,000 barrels in middle distillate inventories, with daily production at 4.7 million barrels, concerns over global fuel supply persist. This concern is exacerbated by drone attacks disrupting Russian refining activity.

Brent crude prices exceeded $87 per barrel earlier today, while West Texas Intermediate surpassed $83 per barrel, driven by market apprehensions. However, at the time of writing, both benchmarks experienced a nearly 2% decline, as traders opted to secure profits and a strengthening dollar hinted at weakening demand.

The recent string of drone attacks by Ukrainian forces on Russian refineries has further compounded supply worries. While estimates of the daily refining capacity affected vary, with Reuters approximating around 300,000 barrels, Gunvor and JP Morgan have offered more significant estimates of 600,000 barrels and 900,000 barrels daily, respectively.

The conflicting estimates underscore the uncertainty surrounding the extent of the disruptions and their potential impact on global fuel markets. As the situation continues to evolve, market participants remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments in both supply and demand dynamics.